21. Percentages in Light Forest and Dark Forest
In the light forest, the final color distribution of the moth population was 29% dark and 71% light. In the dark forest, the final color distribution of the moth population was 65% dark and 35% light.
22. Explain how the color of the moths increases or decreases their chances of survival.
If the moth's coloring contrasts with the moth's environment, then its chances of survival are decreased due to the moth clearly standing out to predators. If the moth's coloring blends with the moth's environment, then its chances of survival are increased due to an increased difficulty for predators to see the moth.
23. Explain the concept of "natural selection" using your moths as an example.
In the light-colored tree environment, the dark coloring phenotype for moths was selected against as it served as a selective disadvantage for the moths, since they stood out clearly to predators. Thus, natural selection favored the light coloring phenotype and that trait prevailed. In the dark-colored tree environment, the light coloring phenotype was selected against as it served as a selective disadvantage for the moths, since they stood out clearly to predators. Thus, natural selection favored the dark coloring phenotype and that trait prevailed.
24. What would happen if there were no predators in the forest? Would the colors of the moths change over time? Defend your answer.
Without predators in the forest, the colors of the moths would not change significantly over time, since there would be no motivation for the population to change. Natural selection requires some sort of obstacle for a population to face in response to which one trait provides an advantage or disadvantage to the species.
Example
One example of an evolutionary change in a population is tied to a change in its environment is the development of DDT resistance in insects. In areas where DDT has been used as an insecticide, small percentages of the insect population were resistant prior to the utilization of the chemical; after its use, only the resistant insects survived, allowing them a huge selective advantage against non-resistant insects. Since the insects' environment changed when DDT was introduced, the population was able to evolve in response to the change. Humans were the real cause of this evolutionary shift, as we introduced the chemical which altered the insects' environment and kickstarted their evolution. The impact of this evolution on the future means that the use of DDT in areas where it has been used previously may be completely ineffective if the insects evolved in response to it.